Trend following & time-series momentum
Prices that have moved persistently in one direction may continue to do so over a chosen horizon. Systems typically define a lookback, a trend measure, and a rule for exiting when the signal weakens.
Moving-average crossovers, breakout levels, time-series momentum, volatility targeting, trailing exits.
Choppy markets can create repeated whipsaws. Trends reverse, signals arrive late, and volatility scaling cannot eliminate gap risk.
Test multiple regimes, delayed execution, turnover, sensitivity to lookback choices, and the distribution of drawdowns—not just total return.